The polls are surprisingly divided, but higher-quality surveys point to an answer.
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By Nate Cohn
Is Donald J. Trump the clear favorite and front-runner to win the Republican nomination? Or is he badly weakened and even an underdog against Ron DeSantis?
At the onset of the Republican campaign, the polls are exceptionally divided on Mr. Trump’s support among Republican primary voters.
In national surveys since last November’s midterm election, different pollsters have shown him with anywhere between 25 percent and 55 percent of the vote in a multicandidate field.
That’s right: a mere 30-point gap.
Huge Variance in Support for Trump
In national surveys since November, different pollsters have shown Mr. Trump with anywhere between 25 percent and 55 percent of the vote in a multicandidate field.
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