Hurricane tracker: When will Tropical Storm Barry hit land? Will it become a hurricane?

Tropical Storm Barry is currently tracking through the Gulf of Mexico, strengthening with the warm waters. The weather system is predicted to cause havoc for Louisiana, with torrential rainfall and damaging winds. Hurricane and flood alerts are in place, as well as a state of emergency for the whole state.

Oil and gas producers offshore in the Gulf have evacuated platforms and rigs and activated shut-in procedures, which “involves closing the sub-surface safety valves located below the surface of the ocean floor to prevent the release of oil or gas,” according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).

Jill Trepanier, Louisiana State University Geography and Anthropology said: “Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures are above average right now providing additional fuel for the system to intensify.

“Warm ocean temperatures paired with higher than average air temperatures are a recipe for a high rainfall event.

“All of the “above average” conditions are indicative of our changing climate.

Read More: Hurricane Barry spaghetti models: Where will tropical storm system hit

“Much of the Gulf Coast, especially Louisiana, are already at extremely high water levels and so the heavy rains and any potential storm surge will lead to dangerous flash flooding.”

But when will Tropical Storm Barry make landfall? Will it become a hurricane?

According to the National Hurricane Centre (NHC) 2 pm advisory, Tropical Storm Barry is about 100 miles southeast of Morgan City, Louisiana.

The storm has maximum sustained winds of 65 mph, to become a hurricane the system needs to pack winds of at least 74mph according to the Saffir Simpson Wind Scale.

The latest forecast still shows the storm making landfall in Louisiana tomorrow morning.

Read More: Hurricane Barry MAP: Deadly hurricane warnings as state of emergency

Watches and Warnings in effect

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for:

  • Intracoastal City to Grand Isle

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:

  • Mouth of the Pearl River to Grand Isle
  • Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans
  • Intracoastal City to Cameron

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for:

  • Intracoastal City to Biloxi
  • Lake Pontchartrain

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for:

  • Biloxi to the Mississippi/Alabama border

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for:

  • Mouth of the Mississippi River to Grand Isle
  • Intracoastal City to Cameron

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:

  • East of the Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mississippi/Alabama border

According to the NHC, Barry is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and is expected to turn toward the northwest later today, followed by a turn toward the north Saturday night local time.

Strengthening is forecast before landfall, and Barry is expected to be a hurricane when the centre reaches the Louisiana coast.

On the forecast track, the centre of Barry will approach the central or southeastern coast of

Louisiana through tonight and then make landfall over the central Louisiana coast on Saturday.

After landfall, Barry is expected to move generally northward through the Mississippi Valley through Sunday.

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